5 Reasons Ethereum Price Can Jump 20% By Jan. 1

Ethereum’s price is still struggling to find direction as profit-taking and weak sentiment in the crypto industry continue. Still, fundamentals like rising spot ETH ETF inflows and negative exchange net flows and technicals like the MVRV indicator point to a potential rebound by January 1.

Bullish Catalysts For Ethereum Price

There are several reasons why Ethereum price will likely rebound by at least 20% in the next few days before the year ends. 

  1. Spot Ethereum ETFs are seeing more investor interest.
  2. Data shows that crypto exchanges are seeing Ethereum outflows. 
  3. Q1 is Ethereum’s best quarter of the year.
  4. Ether’s MVRV ratio has dropped to 1.8%.
  5. Ether has strong technicals.

1. Spot Ethereum ETFs Are Seeing Inflows

Data by SoSoValue shows that spot Ethereum ETFs added over $130 million in assets on Monday, even as the coin retreated. These inflows partially helped offset the outflows experienced in the previous two days. Monday’s inflows brought the total inflows to over $2.46 billion, bringing the total assets to $12 billion.

2. ETH Exchange Outflows Are Rising

Data by IntoTheBlock shows that outflows from exchanges are rising, a sign that investors are accumulating the coin. The number shows that the aggregated exchange netflow dropped to 49,6k ETH, the lowest level since December 19. More accumulation could support Ethereum price recovery.

Ethereum Exchange Netflow
Ethereum Exchange Netflow

3. Q1 Is Ethereum’s Best Quarter

The other reason why the ETH price may rebound is that the first quarter is usually its best period of the year. ETH rose by 60% in Q1 of this year after soaring by 52% in the same period in 2023. Its average performance in Q1 in the last eight years was 92.75%. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the coin will rise in this anticipation.

ETH quarterly performanceETH quarterly performance
ETH quarterly performance

4. ETH Price MVRV Indicator Is At 1.54%

Meanwhile, the popular Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator has dropped to 1.54. This indicator looks at an asset’s market value and compares it with the realized value. Ideally, an asset is said to be overvalued when it moves above 3.8. Therefore, with ETH’s value being at 1.54, it is a sign that the coin is still undervalued.

Ethereum MVRV IndicatorEthereum MVRV Indicator
Ethereum MVRV Indicator

5. Ethereum Price Technicals Suggest a 20% Surge Is Possible

The weekly chart shows that the ETH price retreated after facing strong resistance at about $4,000, which is about 20% above the current level. Ether has remained above the 50-week moving average and the ascending trendline that connects the lowest levels since June 2022. This performance means that bulls remain in control for now.

Therefore, there are odds that the coin will rise and retest $4,080, which coincides with the overshoot level of the Murrey Math Lines (MML) and the third resistance of the Woodie pivot point. A move above that level could see ETH price hit $5,000 as we predicted.

Ethereum price chartEthereum price chart
Ethereum price chart

The bullish view will become invalid if the ETH price drops below the top of the trading range of the MML and the first Woodie support at $2,812. Such a drop may see it crash to the ascending trendline at $2,500.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Yes, Ethereum has several catalysts that may push its price higher in the near term. The most notable ones are its MVRV indicator, ongoing accumulation, and its technicals.

Yes. It is one of the best indicators for Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies because it looks at their market value and the realized value.

Ethereum price may rise to the resistance level at $4,080 soon. A break above that price could see it hit the psychological level of $5,000.

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crispus

Crispus is a seasoned Financial Analyst at CoinGape with over 12 years of experience. He focuses on Bitcoin and other altcoins, covering the intersection of news and analysis. His insights have been featured on renowned platforms such as BanklessTimes, CoinJournal, HypeIndex, SeekingAlpha, Forbes, InvestingCube, Investing.com, and MoneyTransfers.com.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.